How to test a trading strategy before you pay for an eval

Write the strategy as rules someone else could follow, test it on enough trades to mean something (dozens, ideally more), include commissions and slippage, and then run it under the exact drawdown and daily loss limit of the account you plan to buy. A strategy that makes money but breaks the eval's rules still fails the eval.

1. Write it down as rules

If two traders read your rules and take different trades, they aren't rules yet. Each needs:

2. Get enough trades

Ten trades tell you almost nothing. With a few dozen you start to see the shape; with a hundred or more you can start trusting the win rate and expectancy. Results from one week of a trending market won't hold in a range.

3. Include the costs

Subtract commissions on every round turn and add a tick of slippage to stop fills. A strategy that makes two ticks per trade on MES can disappear once fees and slippage come out.

4. Run it under eval rules

This is the step backtests usually skip. A strategy can be profitable and still fail an eval, because:

Take your trade list and play it through the account rules day by day. The simulator does this for Apex and Topstep accounts: log the trades and see whether the account survives.

5. Change one thing at a time

If you tweak the stop, the target and the entry at once and the result improves, you don't know why. Worse, you may have fitted the rules to this sample. Change one rule, test it on new trades, and keep a note of what you changed.

What this won't tell you

No test tells you what the next hundred trades will do. It tells you whether the idea held up on the trades you had, under the rules you'll face. That's the bar to clear before paying, not a promise beyond it.

Blow it here, not on a paid eval

Run the same rules on your own trades in the simulator. Free, no card, and a blown account costs you nothing but pride.

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